Big-Hearted-Networking
0x47d7160b548dab51d4392d0befbb70d6f083df89
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-163.31
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
42%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on April 20?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 18?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
1154 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Collin Sexton win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
1005 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will de Goes Rodrygo be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
1004 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brentford finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Norman Powell win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will John Collins win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?$3.24Jun 27, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.01Jun 20, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.08Jun 17, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.07Jun 17, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.05Jun 17, 01:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.42Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.84Jun 1, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$21.61Jun 1, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$21.53Jun 1, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$28.01Jun 1, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?$0.28Jun 1, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?$0.29Jun 1, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.59Jun 1, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$11.39Jun 1, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00May 24, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ayoze Perez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$0.20May 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.17May 20, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$13.22May 20, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$0.58May 20, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$28.05May 20, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
50 closed markets, 42% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.