Itchy-Membrane
0x47d99abe8d8bd7464a86139280e23d79e153f03b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.43
Total PnL
$-124.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
10 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$10.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?
165 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” between September 16-30
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
143 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
139 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump mention "Sydney Sweeney" again by Friday?
76 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-7.30
- YES
Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” between September 1-15
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
51 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Friday?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?$33.00Aug 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” between September 1-15$5.00Aug 12, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” between September 16-30$10.00Aug 12, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$30.00Aug 11, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMAnother dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?$78.80Aug 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$10.00Aug 8, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Aug 8, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00Aug 7, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$10.00Aug 7, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk tweets 25+ times Friday?$10.00Aug 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump mention "Sydney Sweeney" again by Friday?$7.30Aug 7, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?$50.00Aug 7, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $16.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.