Alienated-Piano
0x47deb2236f96b99f5dc63f75c58cde7a58a59540
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$21.17
Total PnL
$-23.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
GHO depeg by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Ramp IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Go Ahead Eagles win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Jan 15, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 26, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGHO depeg by December 31?$1.00Dec 12, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRamp IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$1.00Dec 10, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill We All Live Here (Jojo Moyes) win Readers' Favorite Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?$1.00Dec 10, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic’s Claude Sonnet 4.5 lose the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?$1.00Dec 10, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $4 in December?$1.00Dec 8, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 6, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Dec 5, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill We All Live Here (Jojo Moyes) win Readers' Favorite Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?$1.00Dec 4, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMOver $30M committed to the Makina public sale?$1.01Dec 3, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill between 16 and 19 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?$1.01Dec 3, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$1.00Dec 3, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.