Horrible-Pusher
0x47e9c1e3a3d7aa76b22b13d5ebd46d82ddac732c
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$108.79
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$19.78
Win rate
97%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on July 31?
30 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.82
$0.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?
24 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$23.64
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on July 31?
15 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.85
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 30?
13 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$11.63
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 30?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$8.69
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 31?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.94
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 31?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.83
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 31?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.72
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.67
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?
191 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-188.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?$11.76Jul 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 30?$8.64Jul 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 30?$11.63Jul 29, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 30?$0.07Jul 29, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 29?$59.94Jul 29, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?$4.65Jul 29, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on July 29?$59.94Jul 29, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?$11.76Jul 29, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 31?$4.80Jul 29, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 31?$4.85Jul 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 29?$11.88Jul 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 29?$5.94Jul 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 29?$41.58Jul 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on July 29?$5.94Jul 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on July 29?$41.58Jul 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on July 29?$11.88Jul 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on July 31?$14.70Jul 29, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 31?$5.88Jul 29, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on July 31?$29.40Jul 29, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on July 28?$54.00Jul 28, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
97% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
33 closed markets, 97% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $18.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.