Dual-Bolero
0x47f81b97591d1b7204c25909cf6531b95425ad69
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$16.24
Total PnL
$-409.63
Realised
$3.11
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 16?
10 shares @ 9.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$9.92
$8.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 16?
6 shares @ 78.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$6.32
$1.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
110 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 11?
98 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 11?
89 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 16?
71 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 11?
70 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 13?
67 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 8°C on April 11?
63 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 13?
60 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 16?$0.75Apr 15, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 16?$0.05Apr 15, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 16?$5.00Apr 15, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 15?$5.35Apr 15, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 16?$2.00Apr 15, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 16?$1.00Apr 15, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 16?$2.00Apr 15, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 16?$2.00Apr 15, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 16?$2.00Apr 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 16?$2.00Apr 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 16?$1.00Apr 15, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 16?$3.00Apr 15, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 16?$3.00Apr 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 15?$1.09Apr 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 15?$2.28Apr 15, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on April 16?$2.00Apr 15, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 15?$2.33Apr 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 15?$2.75Apr 15, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 14?$11.91Apr 15, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 01:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.