Mean-Turnstile
0x47fdee69e4c072842fac84ff03ad998cdd89795b
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$1.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.18Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$78.03Aug 15, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$12.96Aug 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?$18.20Aug 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$42.00Aug 12, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?$41.00Aug 12, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMChina wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$13.10Aug 11, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLChina wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$8.66Aug 11, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLChina wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$68.96Aug 11, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$81.00Aug 11, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$8.70Aug 11, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $39.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.