Excitable-Top
0x4800b8085941cc56e38134d6eee677e569172acd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$54.68
Total PnL
$-554.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
55 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.68
$0.08
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 25?
34719 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-138.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?
27712 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-415.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$54.62Jun 2, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by May 31, 2026?$23.20Jun 2, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 25?$0.14May 25, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 25?$0.04May 25, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 25?$0.04May 25, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 25?$0.00May 25, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 25?$148.31May 25, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by May 31, 2026?$22.71May 10, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$23.24May 10, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$19.82Mar 23, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMOpinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?$19.81Mar 23, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?$18.19Mar 4, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?$0.01Jan 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?$0.09Jan 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?$0.75Jan 14, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?$0.38Jan 14, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?$414.45Jan 14, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $150 on January 13?$184.93Jan 14, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 13?$248.95Jan 14, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 13?$248.70Jan 13, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $69.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 04:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.