Stiff-Caution
0x4804a5ca1609a6f4acc3f2e42c766ef31265fa2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.13
Total PnL
$-0.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-01?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 1, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 1, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-01?$1.00Nov 1, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 1, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 30+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?$1.02Nov 1, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.03Nov 1, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.05Nov 1, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Senators (-1.5)$1.47Nov 1, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.00Oct 15, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$2.50Oct 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 15, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Oct 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Senators (-1.5)$1.00Oct 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 30+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?$1.00Oct 15, 17:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 1, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".