Spry-Warfare
0x4808d446aa9758862619e5b585af4fa7f060ad67
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$31.69
Total PnL
$-39.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$9.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
7 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.51
$0.03
- NO
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
6 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$6.04
$1.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30?
24 shares @ 96.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-23.41
- NO
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
7 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$6.48Mar 31, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?$5.00Mar 31, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Mar 31, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.00Mar 31, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs India$23.16Mar 31, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?$5.00Mar 31, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$7.00Feb 27, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs India$22.00Feb 27, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS defaults on debt in 2025?$3.09Feb 27, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Jerome Powell in December?$4.07Feb 27, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?$4.24Feb 27, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMRussian strike on a NATO member by December 31?$12.20Feb 27, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$13.27Feb 27, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Jerome Powell in December?$4.00Dec 28, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?$4.00Dec 28, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?$9.00Dec 28, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?$6.07Dec 28, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$11.40Dec 28, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Ackman tweets another manifesto by November 30? $23.41Nov 26, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$11.00Nov 26, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $11.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.