Serious-Lending
0x4809a0190811d216baa8f933c850ba66e569a70b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.43
Realised
$15.05
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on February 20?
1459 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on February 23?
52 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 20?
43 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 10?
10 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 11?
8 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 11?
7 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 10?
6 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on February 10?
6 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on February 23?
5 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 66°F or higher on February 11?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on February 23?$0.69Feb 22, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on February 23?$2.50Feb 22, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 22?$0.30Feb 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on February 22?$0.54Feb 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on February 23?$1.01Feb 21, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on February 23?$2.34Feb 21, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 21?$1.06Feb 21, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 20?$0.35Feb 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 20?$2.19Feb 21, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 20?$6.46Feb 21, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 21?$0.30Feb 21, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 21?$1.54Feb 21, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 22?$0.22Feb 21, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 22?$0.44Feb 21, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on February 21?$1.44Feb 21, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on February 21?$2.56Feb 21, 05:16 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 22?$24.00Feb 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 22?$22.08Feb 21, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 22?$1.44Feb 21, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on February 22?$0.72Feb 21, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".