Novel-Shirtdress
0x480afc8004b17518996f7d5b67d3eb3a4abce763
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$14.01
Total PnL
$-5.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.41
$1.41
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$4.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $118k November 3-9?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$3.01
$0.01
- SEAHAWKS
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.43
$0.00
- NO
Aster all time high by December 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
19 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.37
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCardinals vs. Seahawks$1.43Nov 9, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Juárez vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?$1.44Nov 9, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?$1.12Nov 7, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAster all time high by December 31?$1.00Nov 7, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $118k November 3-9?$3.00Nov 7, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$4.00Nov 7, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMKennesaw State vs. Florida International$0.00Oct 29, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on October 22?$0.00Oct 29, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMKennesaw State vs. Florida International$3.12Oct 29, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on October 22?$6.00Oct 29, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKennesaw State vs. Florida International$1.81Oct 21, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on July 28?$0.00Oct 21, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMTigers vs. Phillies$0.00Oct 21, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 28?$0.00Oct 21, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on July 28?$0.00Oct 21, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?$0.00Oct 21, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?$0.00Oct 21, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?$0.00Oct 21, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?$0.00Oct 21, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?$0.00Oct 21, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".