Vacant-Nanoparticle
0x48110fac9d944134541b85497e90c9077f6b466b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$166.00
Total PnL
$-40.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 30.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$166.00
$46.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
260 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.12
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
15 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$123.36Jun 1, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.10Jun 1, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.76May 17, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.93May 17, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$12.70May 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$72.43May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$26.59May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.74May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$13.32May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$11.12May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$6.64May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$23.14May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$23.14May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$23.14May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$42.63May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$146.07May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$302.82May 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$270.00May 16, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10.87May 16, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$5.33May 16, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $49.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".