Vacant-Nanoparticle
0x48110fac9d944134541b85497e90c9077f6b466b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$156.25
Total PnL
$-359.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 32.4¢·now 31.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$156.25
$-5.50
- MEXICO
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
270 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-126.90
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
260 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.12
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
200 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- PORTUGAL
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
130 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-44.20
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
15 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$83.95Jul 19, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$82.18Jul 19, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$115.78Jul 19, 14:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$128.92Jul 4, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $83.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 09:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.