Old-Bin
0x4814e027fa75dc62294abdeb8abc9aacdeef7b85
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$87.01
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
81 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$80.96
$-0.04
- UNDER
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
14 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$6.05
$0.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12PM ET
2752 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1PM ET
1376 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-688.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET
1177 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-588.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10AM ET
1077 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-538.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11AM ET
956 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-478.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
199 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-99.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5$5.15May 16, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5$0.84May 16, 04:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$81.02May 15, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$99.50Nov 8, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET$588.50Nov 7, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1PM ET$688.00Nov 7, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12PM ET$1.4KNov 7, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11AM ET$478.00Nov 7, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10AM ET$473.00Nov 7, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10AM ET$65.50Nov 7, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $385.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 10:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 04:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".