Cloudy-Derivation
0x4817e44e077bd9eaf20c95aa098087cd0a70823a
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.41
Total PnL
$0.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$2.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$2.00Oct 10, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$2.00Oct 10, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$2.00Oct 10, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$2.00Oct 10, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?$0.00Oct 10, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMBird flu pandemic before August 2025?$0.00Oct 10, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?$2.03Oct 10, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?$2.08Oct 10, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?$2.17Oct 10, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?$2.00Jul 27, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?$2.00Jul 27, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?$2.00Jul 27, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 450-499 times Jan 10-17?$1.18Jul 27, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?$1.47Jul 27, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$5.76Jul 27, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$5.50Jan 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450-499 times Jan 10-17?$1.00Jan 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?$1.00Jan 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?$1.00Jan 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Besiktas win the UEFA Europa League?$244.00Jan 13, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $69.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".