Artistic-Stylus
0x48180cfe026031c280ebdea2acad996867cde5de
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-96.06
Realised
$177.09
Win rate
67%
148 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on May 16?
120 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?
90 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 15?
90 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 5?
80 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?
65 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?
62 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 21?
62 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 13?
61 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
61 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 30?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?$30.00Jun 16, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 15?$30.00Jun 16, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 16?$0.39Jun 16, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?$5.10Jun 16, 01:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.66Jun 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 16?$0.02Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 16?$0.25Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?$30.00Jun 15, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?$30.00Jun 15, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15?$6.08Jun 15, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 16?$0.12Jun 15, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 16?$0.15Jun 15, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 16?$0.24Jun 15, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16?$4.68Jun 15, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 16?$0.14Jun 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?$1.25Jun 15, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 15?$10.00Jun 15, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15?$1.48Jun 15, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 16?$0.09Jun 15, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 16?$0.04Jun 15, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 148 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
148 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 148 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.