Modest-Sailboat
0x4818b768dde5189cac8b4a64657963f4fd2c1686
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$122.54
Total PnL
$1.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
98 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$97.92
$3.92
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
12 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$12.36
$1.36
- NO
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$5.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$4.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
2 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$11.00Jul 21, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$94.00Jul 21, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump drop out of presidential race?$4.00Jul 21, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$2.00Jul 21, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden resigns from presidency by August 31?$5.00Jul 21, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?$5.00Jul 21, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $20.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 10:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".