Weak-Grit
0x481e2c2f645dfb0a787d373f6bf0fe349287d896
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$409.41
Total PnL
$-902.30
Realised
$-0.34
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on March 16?
409 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$409.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
180308 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-180.31
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
115 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
115 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
108 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-103.78
- NO
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
84 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-81.50
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
81 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-47.07
- YES
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?
44 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-36.96
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on March 16?$409.00Mar 16, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 6?$409.58Mar 16, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 6?$409.00Mar 5, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 2?$407.82Mar 5, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 2?$407.00Mar 2, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$18.00Mar 2, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$25.29Mar 2, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$26.33Mar 2, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?$334.34Mar 2, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?$333.00Feb 15, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?$337.01Feb 15, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?$336.00Feb 11, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$330.00Feb 11, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$329.67Feb 7, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$336.00Feb 7, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$335.66Feb 6, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?$328.33Jan 12, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?$328.00Jan 7, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.11Jan 7, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMKinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.53Jan 7, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $143.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 12:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".