Advanced-Leap
0x4820bfdf98c9c4506ef7d76e9c87b1d570045847
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.15
Total PnL
$-12.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
6049 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
5101 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
4123 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
4111 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1880 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-940.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1611 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-805.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 16, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?$1.04Dec 16, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?$1.00Dec 11, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 11, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.00Dec 4, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.00Nov 24, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$96.00Nov 10, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$48.00Nov 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.13Nov 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$8.00Nov 10, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.55Nov 10, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$34.31Nov 10, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$3.2KNov 4, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Nov 4, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.6KNov 4, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.6KNov 4, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$947.50Nov 4, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$4.2KNov 4, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Nov 4, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $643.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".