Dependable-Seagull
0x4824bbbb2f70fe22e67701a21ee7c5932d363521
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$80.62
Total PnL
$-73.16
Realised
$-39.08
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
24 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$23.50
$0.26
- NO
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win between 50 and 74 seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$14.86
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C or higher on February 4?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$11.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
8 shares @ 87.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$8.01
$1.01
- YES
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 56% and 58%?
4 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$4.48
$0.04
- NO
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-02?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$3.73
$0.34
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
3 shares @ 76.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.62
$0.62
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$2.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pisa SC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?$2.00Feb 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?$1.78Feb 12, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?$1.00Feb 12, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?$3.49Feb 12, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Feb 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?$3.00Feb 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$0.00Feb 11, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$2.00Feb 11, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$2.00Feb 11, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 11, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 11, 07:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".