Scornful-Contrail
0x48282f7756e90d97d8e4c8ab433d3b0bce8b367a
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1093 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?
770 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
149 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
84 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?
78 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-15.60
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Vermont" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
57 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$37.00Oct 10, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$30.00Oct 10, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "AIPAC" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?$30.00Aug 25, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "AIPAC" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?$8.90Aug 24, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?$6.00Aug 24, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Vermont" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?$4.00Aug 24, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?$7.00Aug 24, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?$15.60Mar 2, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?$57.78Mar 2, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?$40.00Feb 28, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?$104.34Feb 28, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?$34.28Feb 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?$15.28Feb 27, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?$5.10Feb 27, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?$15.96Feb 26, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?$10.98Feb 26, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?$7.02Feb 26, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?$10.00Feb 26, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $24.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 00:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".