Excited-Pregnancy
0x482943e8126e83a63695cebde33a9498ee7497eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.4K
Realised
$-143.22
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
1857 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
1393 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 29?
1225 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-201.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?
1042 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 14?
1039 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-23.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?
863 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 14?
722 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 11?
666 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 15?
642 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-148.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?
606 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-409.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 28?$102.21Jul 28, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 28?$205.84Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 28?$100.11Jul 28, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?$173.70Jul 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$4.68Jul 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$47.91Jul 28, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$24.74Jul 28, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$6.56Jul 28, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$19.42Jul 28, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$35.56Jul 28, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$26.95Jul 28, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 28?$68.78Jul 28, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?$102.57Jul 28, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?$142.79Jul 28, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 28?$321.28Jul 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 28?$54.53Jul 28, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 28?$100.24Jul 28, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 28?$51.65Jul 28, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?$111.06Jul 28, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $80.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 11:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.