Lively-Objective
0x482b17b6c74c52bd82cb71934a2690b2d7ee83bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$20.20
Total PnL
$1.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US bank failure by October 31?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$10.64
$0.64
- NO
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$5.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?
4 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$4.19
$0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by October 31?$10.00Oct 10, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?$5.00Oct 10, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?$4.00Oct 10, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill DOGE sell FBI headquarters before June? $3.04Oct 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?$4.12Oct 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill any candidate win outright in 1st round of Poland Election?$5.05Oct 10, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?$7.22Oct 10, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DOGE sell FBI headquarters before June? $3.00May 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any candidate win outright in 1st round of Poland Election?$5.00May 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?$7.00May 10, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?$4.00May 10, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?$5.24May 10, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye launch a coin by March 7?$9.64May 10, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?$14.01May 10, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?$5.18Mar 5, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?$14.00Mar 5, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a coin by March 7?$9.62Mar 5, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 5, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Black Box Diaries" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?$9.62Mar 5, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Black Box Diaries" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?$9.59Mar 2, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $81.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".