0x482f494d6f594421203073c2dd700f612c9264cb
0x482f494d6f594421203073c2dd700f612c9264cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$36.65
Total PnL
$-31.58
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.67
$12.67
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.82
$0.82
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
4 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.24
$0.23
- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.11
$1.11
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
1 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$0.04Feb 28, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.86Feb 28, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.68Feb 28, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.05Feb 28, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.07Feb 28, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$0.01Feb 28, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.03Feb 28, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.82Feb 28, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.01Feb 28, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.85Feb 28, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$0.11Feb 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.34Feb 28, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.46Feb 28, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.39Feb 27, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.42Feb 27, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 02:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.