Classic-Papaya
0x4835f42a7109224c31d22675ed2fe96a4643a895
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
221 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
203 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1-1.4 on Oct 25?
128 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 17?
98 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
78 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2024$0.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7PM ET$1.13Feb 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$2.00Feb 3, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3?$1.00Feb 2, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12PM ET$2.00Feb 2, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 3?$1.00Feb 2, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Jan 21, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?$1.00Jan 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 17?$1.00Jan 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 16, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?$2.00Jan 16, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Jan 16, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to no prison time?$0.00Nov 7, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Joe Rogan Experience?$0.70Oct 26, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$8.00Oct 24, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$2.00Oct 24, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$1.00Oct 24, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$2.00Oct 24, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 1-1.4 on Oct 25?$2.00Oct 24, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMKamala positive favorability by Friday?$0.00Oct 24, 23:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 14, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.