Used-Mission
0x483bb89cb2e78b638db04981d4530b15e59ed0ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.76
Total PnL
$-8.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?
5 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?$1.00Jan 25, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?$1.00Jan 25, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 25, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$1.00Jan 25, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 25, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.10Jan 25, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.14Jan 25, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.52Jan 25, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMBritney Spears tour in 2025?$2.33Jan 25, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.14Jan 25, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.00Nov 1, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 1, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.00Nov 1, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$1.00Nov 1, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.01Nov 1, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?$1.03Nov 1, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$1.05Nov 1, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$2.01Nov 1, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$1.00Oct 4, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$1.00Oct 4, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 4, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.