0x4840166e4a150babc4ea65dab48c0ea3d7a24445
0x4840166e4a150babc4ea65dab48c0ea3d7a24445
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$248.41
Total PnL
$49.86
Realised
$-14.65
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
126 shares @ 39.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.00
$76.46
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
35 shares @ 79.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.00
$7.05
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
25 shares @ 37.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.00
$15.70
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
20 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$0.90
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 53.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$4.65
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$7.90
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
10 shares @ 89.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$1.05
- YES
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
9 shares @ 19.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.73
$7.02
- US
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
4 shares @ 20.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.18
$1.31
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
15 shares @ 16.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.75Mar 4, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.88Mar 3, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.80Mar 3, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.01Mar 3, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.53Mar 3, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.08Mar 2, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$0.70Mar 2, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$1.00Mar 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$0.90Mar 2, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.23Mar 2, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.23Mar 2, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.23Mar 2, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.77Mar 2, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.92Mar 2, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.70Mar 1, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.60Mar 1, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.02Mar 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.57Mar 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.02Mar 1, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.00Mar 1, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 22:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.