Rough-Obstacle
0x48486599a6547a5323b60b3403286988ef9493b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$29.31
Total PnL
$-1.91
Realised
$-3.37
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
8 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.17
$0.17
- NO
Trump out as President in 2025?
7 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.28
$0.28
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
7 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.55
$0.85
- NO
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.28
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.21
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.42
$0.08
- NO
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.40
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$7.00Oct 10, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$5.70Oct 10, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?$2.82Oct 10, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$6.90Oct 10, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$6.60Sep 6, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMAny Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?$1.49Sep 6, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$6.99Sep 6, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$470.29Jul 26, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$365.42Jul 26, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?$489.54Jul 26, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$993.99Jul 26, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?$955.20Jul 26, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.4KJul 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$1.3KJul 26, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?$1.4KJul 26, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$1.8KJul 26, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$1.26Jul 26, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.48Jul 26, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland before July?$1.60Jul 26, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$6.70May 19, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $329.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 14:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.