Palatable-Incentive
0x484b09880575e9b5498a2c222b755c99614e3e0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
9600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Oracle be the most valuable company on October 31?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
1700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?
154 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?
36 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.00Oct 19, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle be the most valuable company on October 31?$3.00Oct 8, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Greens win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$1.70Feb 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BSW win the most seats in the next German election?$2.00Feb 7, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$9.60Feb 7, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?$1.82Dec 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?$1.35Dec 10, 08:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".