Necessary-Lady
0x484c42f86c43c1d350e8e8b934a9c6c7dfe09e74
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$30.72
Total PnL
$-363.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
662 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.90
$-5.10
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?
466 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$8.16
$-1.84
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?
295 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$7.66
$-2.34
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
2538 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
1034 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
978 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-149.50
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
614 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
240 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.