Bubbly-Eyebrow
0x4850e164fe4d1642423cb3800926d70fbe29fd3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.44
Total PnL
$-21.30
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12PM ET
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$3.23
$2.23
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.16
$-1.59
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 80.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.24
$0.24
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands on Friday?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
110 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-22?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 8AM ET
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?$1.00Sep 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Sep 6, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$1.00Aug 22, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$1.00Aug 22, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?$1.00Aug 22, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-08-22?$1.00Aug 22, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-08-22?$1.00Aug 22, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 22, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-08-22?$1.00Aug 22, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-08-22?$1.00Aug 22, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-08-22?$1.00Aug 22, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$1.00Aug 22, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$1.00Aug 22, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$1.00Aug 22, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$5.90Aug 22, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.16Aug 14, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00Aug 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFantasy Football: Mahomes vs. Herbert - Week 1$1.00Aug 14, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands on Friday?$1.00Aug 14, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12PM ET$1.00Aug 3, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 9, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".