Small-Encirclement
0x4851219d2b988db9dd4a09b8f5f6be4857e77fb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$9.82
Total PnL
$-57.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33 shares @ 15.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.48
$0.48
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will PayPal say "Blockchain" during earnings call?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Luka Dončić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will BULLY debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
39 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
18 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 22)$3.00Mar 15, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Mar 5, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$1.47Feb 18, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Dončić win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$5.00Feb 11, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Feb 11, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$5.00Feb 11, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$10.00Feb 5, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$5.00Feb 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$10.00Feb 5, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)$7.00Feb 4, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?$20.55Feb 4, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BULLY debut No.1 on Billboard 200?$2.00Feb 4, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?$1.00Feb 4, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Feb 4, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?$10.00Feb 4, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$5.00Feb 4, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)$5.00Feb 3, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)$5.00Feb 3, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Blockchain" during earnings call?$5.00Feb 3, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$10.00Feb 3, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $6.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 11:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.