Blaring-Scrambled
0x4854cd4805e818488436c7c6efca88a7a6830887
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-539.86
Realised
$26.75
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
3473 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-478.41
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iraq next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Venezuela next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Colombia next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
124 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-19.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?
104 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
55 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
Recent activity
- REWARD$5.39Jan 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$0.50Jan 20, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$2.77Jan 20, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$0.56Jan 20, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$7.08Jan 20, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$9.89Jan 20, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$0.89Jan 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$0.20Jan 20, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$0.40Jan 20, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$0.10Jan 20, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$7.81Jan 20, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$0.90Jan 20, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$0.10Jan 20, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$0.30Jan 20, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$11.24Jan 20, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$4.94Jan 20, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$7.49Jan 20, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$72.00Jan 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$1.25Jan 20, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?$19.00Jan 20, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $24.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 11:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.