Annual-Package
0x485890e1df1671dacbcd928c5a80fc705bf8a5d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-301.35
Realised
$15.83
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?
332 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 5?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 7?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 9?
166 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SUNRISERS HYDERABAD
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
142 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 1?
127 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 2?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$2.34Jun 17, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.50Jun 17, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.02Jun 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$2.15Jun 17, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.29Jun 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.26Jun 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.05Jun 17, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$2.90Jun 17, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.41Jun 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$2.04Jun 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.02Jun 17, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.10Jun 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.70Jun 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2.10Jun 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.25Jun 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.90Jun 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.60Jun 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.10Jun 17, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.00Jun 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$3.50Jun 17, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.