0x4859ce1d60a56782671d342d44d9a1f0712fe322
0x4859ce1d60a56782671d342d44d9a1f0712fe322
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-685.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
302 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$301.84
$84.64
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
301 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$301.23
$6.93
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
301 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$301.21
$2.11
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
300 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$300.00
$21.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
300 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$300.00
$66.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
300 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$300.00
$57.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?
1580 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will another team win the Bundesliga?
1400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Ja Morant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$217.20Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$243.00Jul 1, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$51.00Jun 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$5.10Jun 29, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$60.00Jun 28, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$93.00Jun 27, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$96.00Jun 26, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?$2.70Jun 25, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$234.00Jun 24, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3000 in June?$9.00Jun 23, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$299.10Jun 22, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?$2.70Jun 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$192.30Jun 20, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$279.00Jun 19, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.40Jun 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$192.00Jun 17, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$66.00Jun 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.40Jun 14, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$63.00Jun 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?$3.00Jun 12, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $110.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.