Poised-Membership
0x485c1c8e220070a0a9f7154767a09dccf1437f50
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.48
Realised
$0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?
1135 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-73.70
- NO
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
15 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?
11 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$9.50May 4, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$0.05May 3, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$0.05May 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$1.03May 2, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?$1.00May 1, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$6.30May 1, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$6.30May 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$13.12May 1, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$29.82May 1, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$1.54May 1, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$2.00Apr 30, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$4.61Apr 27, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?$0.51Apr 27, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?$0.57Apr 27, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?$0.65Apr 27, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?$0.50Apr 27, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$14.11Apr 27, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?$2.00Apr 26, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$2.00Apr 26, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?$2.00Apr 26, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.