Smug-Chord
0x485ff32c280c0ae6c41873d58b98867f172e6bc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$89.94
Total PnL
$-23.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 1?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$30.06
$0.06
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.07
$0.07
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
13 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
US bank failure by March 31?
8 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $30.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.