Kindly-Designation
0x4861333e81d6a0834a241962c83808bd07c89acf
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.06
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$60.52
Win rate
82%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$3.09
$0.21
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$2.97
$0.09
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- UP
XRP Up or Down - August 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- TEAM WE
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
880 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-457.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
111 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-56.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
111 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-53.28
- AURORA
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
83 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-33.17
- GAMERLEGION
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
77 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-33.99
- EX-HEROIC
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
77 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-36.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.95Aug 6, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$0.92Aug 6, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$6.00Aug 6, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$6.00Aug 6, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$6.00Aug 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$6.00Aug 6, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$6.00Aug 6, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.88Aug 6, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
62/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.