Moral-Lard
0x4864b84a005af459a65f363949b699863bfe1351
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-525.75
Realised
$67.23
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
1700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
1480 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
1411 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-189.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
1100 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-152.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
700 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
615 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
325 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
275 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$11.73May 2, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$12.70May 2, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$12.48Mar 7, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Timberwolves$4.20Mar 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.21Mar 7, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.20Mar 7, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$18.98Feb 3, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$18.79Feb 2, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$18.90Feb 2, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$17.92Jan 16, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$18.00Jan 16, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.19Jan 6, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.02Jan 6, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.42Jan 6, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.17Jan 6, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$2.38Jan 6, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$3.58Jan 6, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$2.36Jan 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.84Jan 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.08Jan 6, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $38.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".