Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-6.2K

Realised

$-131.38

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

NO
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?
6737 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025
$0.00
$-610.99
NO
Will Trump say "IQ" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
3798 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025
$0.00
$-40.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2615 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2514 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-700.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1AM ET
2404 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2113 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-652.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
1645 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-358.07
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1415 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1160 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025
$0.00
$-327.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$3.00Dec 4, 07:58 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.47Dec 4, 07:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$322.00Dec 4, 07:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0KDec 4, 07:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$10.00Dec 4, 07:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$700.00Dec 4, 07:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1AM ET$465.00Dec 4, 06:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1AM ET$695.53Dec 4, 06:08 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$382.04Dec 4, 06:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Dec 4, 06:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$100.00Dec 4, 06:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$100.00Dec 4, 06:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$367.86Dec 4, 06:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$50.00Dec 4, 05:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12AM ET$302.00Dec 4, 05:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$158.07Dec 4, 05:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$100.00Dec 4, 05:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$100.00Dec 4, 05:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Dec 4, 04:59 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$661.67Dec 4, 04:58 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity38 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry31 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 32
Avg trade size: $352.57
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 2, 14:25 UTC
Last active: Dec 4, 07:58 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:38:02 UTC·src:Polymarket Data