Hidden-Cascade
0x48663ac5b186fc3025755ca796216ebf1e6b3f3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-187.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 150 and 164 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$0.00May 13, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$91.98Feb 26, 01:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 26, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 25, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 24, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 23, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 22, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 21, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.72Feb 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$65.37Feb 19, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$114.52Feb 16, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$25.62Feb 16, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$25.62Feb 16, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?$76.06Feb 14, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Feb 13, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$21.92Feb 13, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $37.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 07:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.