Antique-Factor
0x4866595f026082bc9c59ad020f5de6b62876e268
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$3.03
Total PnL
$-56.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?
14 shares @ 7.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 6.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
20 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-0.82
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.01
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
102 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.05May 29, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.07May 29, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.06May 29, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.00May 29, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.00May 23, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.04May 23, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.04May 23, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.05May 23, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMT20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa$2.00May 23, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$3.46Apr 26, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$6.25Apr 26, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 27, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa$1.00Mar 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Nigeria Invitational Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs South Africa$0.22Mar 22, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Nigeria Invitational Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs South Africa$1.00Mar 22, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.38Mar 21, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".