Swift-Frown
0x486b3c752f4c65c0c3b194422dc9688edf796e0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-328.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on May 15?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or below on May 16?
505 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on May 10?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?
185 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 16?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 16?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 6?
27 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
27 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 8?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 25?$5.00Jul 25, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 26?$2.11Jul 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 25?$2.16Jul 25, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?$1.09Jul 25, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?$2.31Jul 25, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?$5.00Jul 24, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 25?$2.11Jul 24, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 25?$1.05Jul 24, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?$2.16Jul 24, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?$2.26Jul 24, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 23?$5.00Jul 23, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 23?$5.00Jul 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 23?$2.26Jul 23, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 23?$2.31Jul 22, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 22?$5.00Jul 22, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$2.26Jul 22, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 22?$2.21Jul 22, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 21?$5.00Jul 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 22?$2.26Jul 21, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 21?$2.21Jul 21, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.