Active-Basis
0x486f3ea3f87805b034559547a9dd9ebdca64dc1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$38.77
Total PnL
$-245.45
Realised
$3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
46 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.77
$-0.23
- UP
Silver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?
10085 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-49.90
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?
786 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.64
- YES
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
652 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.46
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
160 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.59
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
155 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.06
- NO
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
97 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.72
- NO
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
34 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-25.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
23 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-13.18
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?
19 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$4.03May 5, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$30.22May 5, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$5.04May 5, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?$32.72Mar 1, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$32.73Mar 1, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$31.15Feb 28, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$31.14Feb 28, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$19.62Feb 20, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$13.38Feb 3, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 3?$0.09Feb 3, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 3?$17.10Feb 3, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?$10.00Feb 2, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?$0.08Feb 2, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?$1.20Feb 2, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?$9.98Feb 2, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?$10.00Feb 2, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?$1.02Feb 2, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?$1.02Feb 2, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?$0.12Feb 2, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (SI) Up or Down on February 2?$1.00Feb 2, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 22:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".