0x48732c4ed5540273b27a0c4494e3b13fd1cf2706
0x48732c4ed5540273b27a0c4494e3b13fd1cf2706
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$12.95
Total PnL
$1.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$4.24
$1.74
- YES
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
4 shares @ 53.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$3.78
$1.75
- NO
Will Livable Rotterdam (LR) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
3 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$2.83
$1.64
- NO
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$2.10
$1.05
- YES
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
6 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at <$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.00Mar 23, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$3.42Mar 23, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.00Mar 23, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.00Mar 23, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?$2.50Mar 20, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?$0.00Mar 20, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$4.33Mar 20, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$2.50Mar 20, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at <$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$2.50Mar 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$2.50Mar 19, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$2.03Mar 19, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$2.14Mar 19, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$0.00Mar 19, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$2.50Mar 18, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 17?$0.00Mar 18, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?$1.05Mar 18, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$2.38Mar 17, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 16?$0.00Mar 17, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 16?$0.00Mar 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$2.50Mar 17, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 20:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 11:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.