0x48735b22a6a73a60e4bef8a444ad1bf36c46cbbc
0x48735b22a6a73a60e4bef8a444ad1bf36c46cbbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$38.46
Total PnL
$-248.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.46
$28.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
399 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.93
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
119 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
66 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
53 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.08
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
42 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
36 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$20.00Apr 1, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$33.44Apr 1, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$20.00Apr 1, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$20.00Mar 30, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$21.85Mar 30, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$20.00Mar 30, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$22.22Mar 30, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$20.00Mar 30, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Mar 30, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMOver $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$53.74Mar 30, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$35.00Mar 18, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$22.22Mar 9, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$46.58Mar 1, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$15.00Feb 24, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$35.00Feb 17, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$41.67Feb 15, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$15.00Feb 14, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$14.67Feb 14, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $18.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.