Virtual-Success
0x487d7d22c510e8d320eadc2c51068c295ea5a3d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$9.37
Total PnL
$-430.96
Realised
$26.68
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$9.37
$-0.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
362 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
248 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
247 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
146 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
80 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
50 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
41 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
37 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$10.36Jul 30, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$14.65Jul 30, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10.34Jul 30, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$12.26Jul 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$7.24Jul 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$10.56Jul 30, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$10.95Jul 30, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$10.50Jul 30, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$3.46Jul 30, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$10.32Jul 30, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$10.45Jul 30, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$10.38Jul 30, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$10.38Jul 30, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$44.91Jul 30, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$10.45Jul 30, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$10.45Jul 30, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$10.65Jul 30, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$10.35Jul 30, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$10.34Jul 30, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$16.82Jul 30, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
27/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.