Faithful-Time
0x487de9f2a2ebe71eb749921ee4c676aab6f603f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$925.23
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
1667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
1652 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-550.00
- YES
Spain leading at halftime?
1458 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-466.58
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
969 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-310.14
- YES
France leading at halftime?
900 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-405.00
- YES
Will France vs. England end in a draw?
889 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
762 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-418.98
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
539 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-144.14
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
497 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-193.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
488 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-151.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$2.53Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$149.42Jul 19, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain leading at halftime?$145.47Jul 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain leading at halftime?$643.26Jul 19, 11:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.59Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$143.02Jul 18, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$103.76Jul 18, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals$598.84Jul 18, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$41.91Jul 18, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. England end in a draw?$46.03Jul 18, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$46.20Jul 18, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$206.68Jul 18, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$251.86Jul 18, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$140.94Jul 18, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$138.15Jul 18, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$72.13Jul 18, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 2 - 1 England?$21.48Jul 18, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 3 - 1 England?$31.77Jul 18, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$76.89Jul 18, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 England?$31.32Jul 18, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $123.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.