Elaborate-Expectation
0x4884607e3461d19385e0dd7b9293f2b3e7d34902
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-389.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 29?
275 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on November 22?
270 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.99
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on December 8?
269 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 1?
268 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on December 1?
268 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 30?
268 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 26?
261 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 4?
256 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.59
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on December 4?
256 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 7?
254 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$1.53May 31, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$55.43May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$0.03May 27, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$0.06May 27, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$53.67May 27, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 19?$46.31May 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 19?$0.30May 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 19?$44.85May 18, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 27?$47.33Apr 27, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 27?$46.05Apr 26, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 29?$45.52Apr 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on April 18?$1.68Apr 17, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.66Apr 12, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on December 1?$0.00Apr 12, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 2?$0.00Mar 31, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 25?$0.00Mar 29, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 29?$44.06Mar 28, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 25?$54.73Mar 26, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 25?$51.88Mar 25, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 24?$50.64Mar 25, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $32.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".