Flippant-Jockey
0x4891b51e9841e4f70a21c7ee09a50b1922acd6a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
0
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
No open positions.
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?$390.10Jul 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?$390.10Jul 2, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?$205.20Jul 2, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?$180.00Jul 2, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?$389.48Jul 2, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?$395.60Jul 1, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?$404.20Jul 1, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$218.96Jul 1, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$184.00Jul 1, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$408.22Jul 1, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMAngelo Stiller: 1+ goals$424.91Jun 14, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAngelo Stiller: 1+ goals$391.86Jun 14, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$1.01Jun 14, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$462.21Jun 14, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$23.25Jun 14, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$22.98Jun 14, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$463.11Jun 14, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMGame 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?$502.99Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?$468.76Jun 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$465.50Jun 13, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $224.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 01:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.