Foolhardy-Accelerant
0x489b7471a6c21d2c0d6c6780db689f4a131a7433
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-149.92
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
2860 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
2733 shares @ 79.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
2342 shares @ 79.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 22, 2026?
1712 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?
1378 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-592.33
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 29, 2026?
1337 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 24, 2026?
1121 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 19, 2026?
1090 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 25, 2026?
994 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 14, 2026?
968 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$0.00Mar 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$11.91Mar 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$16.00Mar 10, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$16.00Mar 10, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$3.53Mar 10, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$7.50Mar 9, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$112.00Mar 9, 00:30 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Mar 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$50.65Mar 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$6.82Mar 8, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$5.45Mar 8, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$19.26Mar 8, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$42.00Mar 8, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$13.64Mar 8, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$6.46Mar 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$18.87Mar 8, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$58.85Mar 8, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$22.99Mar 8, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$5.00Mar 8, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$5.85Mar 8, 23:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $49.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 21:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".